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Analyticon N 6 (18), June 2010
  


By Gegham Baghdasaryan
Stepanakert 

To understand the prospects of the regional development first of all it is necessary to evaluate the new situation and already starting historical processes really and adequately and have the courage to call a spade a spade. 

  


By Izida Chania 
Sukhum

The 11th round of talks on security and stability in the Trans-Caucasus, which took place in Geneva on June 8, once again for the 11th time, did not bring any result. Even more, the Abkhazian and South Ossetian representatives left the meeting, blaming the co-chairs of the negotiations in "ignoring” their opinion and expressed their disappointment with the US, UN, EU and OSCE positions.

  


By Timur Tskhurbati  
Tskhinval


The conflict between South Ossetia and Georgia has resemblance with conflicts between Abkhazia and Georgia, as well as between Nagorno Karabakh and Azerbaijan. But there is a substantial difference. 
Both in Karabakh and in Abkhazia national elites headed and organized the repulse to the policy of assimilation and infringement of rights of the autonomies. They organized the armed resistance after the aggressive actions of the adversary started.
  

By Masis Mayilian
Stepanakert

The article "The Artsakh settlement in 2009: new vine and old wineskin” (Analyticon, #12) accentuated the attention of readers to the new trends in OSCE Minsk Group Co-chairmen’s work on settlement of the conflict between the NKR and Azerbaijan, as well as to the new emerging factors, impacting the peace process.
  

By Manvel Sargsyan
Yerevan

It is considered that the political situation in the South Caucasus has been significantly changed since the Russian troops entered the territory of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in August 2008 and the following recognition of these entities by Russia. It would be senseless to dispute such an
  


Andreas Gkoukassyan
Yerevan

The dispute between Azerbaijan and Armenia regarding the political status of the Nagorno Karabakh people is the key problem of the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict under the OSCE aegis. Both these republics became full members of the OSCE in January 1992. Despite the armed conflict in Nagorno Karabakh, the OSCE member states recognized sovereign equality of the Azerbaijani Republic and its territorial integrity within the borders of the Azerbaijani SSR.
  


By Dr. Sergey Markedonov
Moscow

Against the background of the events in Kyrgyzstan, impetuously plunging into the chaos, and the danger of emerging the second Afghanistan in the Central Asia, the situation in the Greater Caucasus has lost its acuteness. The new escalation of violence in Abkhazia and South Ossetia with possible complete annexation of Georgia by Russia, which was expected by many in the West, has not occurred.
  

By Richard Giragosian
Yerevan


The region of the South Caucasus has long served as an arena for competing regional powers and, for much of the past two centuries, has been hostage to the competing interests of much larger regional powers, as neighboring Russia, Turkey and Iran have jockeyed for power and influence.  And those very same historic powers -- Russia, Turkey and Iran – continue to exert influence today as the dominant actors in the region.  
  

Artak Beglaryan
Stepanakert

The two main dimensions of the world attractiveness of the South Caucasus are the geological and geographical.

1. Geological dimension. The lithosphere of the South Caucasus is rich in various minerals. Part of the oil and gas of the Caspian Sea, being under control of Azerbaijan, gives this country an opportunity for the solution of its political and geopolitical problems to use this factor as an oppressive or at least a tempting lever in the regional resolutions of superpowers. Nowadays Russia as well as Europe and the USA are interested in the energy supplies of Azerbaijan.
  


By Harut Sassounian 
Los Angeles

Having been victimized by many conquerors throughout history, Armenians have developed a strong instinct for survival. To stay out of trouble, they have learned to be loyal and even subservient to the states that ruled over them.
  

This publication has been produced with the assistance of Conciliation Resources and the financial support of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the Stepanakert Press Club and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of Conciliation Resources or the European Union.
  


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